考研沖刺真題文章解析(7)

雕龍文庫 分享 時間: 收藏本文

考研沖刺真題文章解析(7)

  石油的驚喜

  Could the bad old days of economic decline be about to return? Since OPEC agreed to supply-cuts in March, the price of crude oil has jumped to almost $26 a barrel, up from less than $10 last December. This near-tripling of oil prices calls up scary memories of the 1973 oil shock, when prices quadrupled, and 1979-1980, when they also almost tripled. Both previous shocks resulted in double-digit inflation and global economic decline. So where are the headlines warning of gloom and doom this time?The oil price was given another push up this week when Iraq suspended oil exports. Strengthening economic growth, at the same time as winter grips the northern hemisphere, could push the price higher still in the short term.

  Yet there are good reasons to expect the economic consequences now to be less severe than in the 1970s. In most countries the cost of crude oil now accounts for a smaller share of the price of petrol than it did in the 1970s. In Europe, taxes account for up to four-fifths of the retail price, so even quite big changes in the price of crude have a more muted effect on pump prices than in the past.

  Rich economies are also less dependent on oil than they were, and so less sensitive to swings in the oil price. Energy conservation, a shift to other fuels and a decline in the importance of heavy, energy-intensive industries have reduced oil consumption. Software, consultancy and mobile telephones use far less oil than steel or car production. For each dollar of GDP rich economies now use nearly 50% less oil than in 1973. The OECD estimates in its latest Economic Outlook that, if oil prices averaged $22 a barrel for a full year, compared with $13 in 1998, this would increase the oil import bill in rich economies by only 0.25% -0.5% of GDP. That is less than one-quarter of the income loss in 1974 or 1980. On the other hand, oil-importing emerging economies to which heavy industry has shifted have become more energy-intensive, and so could be more seriously squeezed.

  

  石油的驚喜

  Could the bad old days of economic decline be about to return? Since OPEC agreed to supply-cuts in March, the price of crude oil has jumped to almost $26 a barrel, up from less than $10 last December. This near-tripling of oil prices calls up scary memories of the 1973 oil shock, when prices quadrupled, and 1979-1980, when they also almost tripled. Both previous shocks resulted in double-digit inflation and global economic decline. So where are the headlines warning of gloom and doom this time?The oil price was given another push up this week when Iraq suspended oil exports. Strengthening economic growth, at the same time as winter grips the northern hemisphere, could push the price higher still in the short term.

  Yet there are good reasons to expect the economic consequences now to be less severe than in the 1970s. In most countries the cost of crude oil now accounts for a smaller share of the price of petrol than it did in the 1970s. In Europe, taxes account for up to four-fifths of the retail price, so even quite big changes in the price of crude have a more muted effect on pump prices than in the past.

  Rich economies are also less dependent on oil than they were, and so less sensitive to swings in the oil price. Energy conservation, a shift to other fuels and a decline in the importance of heavy, energy-intensive industries have reduced oil consumption. Software, consultancy and mobile telephones use far less oil than steel or car production. For each dollar of GDP rich economies now use nearly 50% less oil than in 1973. The OECD estimates in its latest Economic Outlook that, if oil prices averaged $22 a barrel for a full year, compared with $13 in 1998, this would increase the oil import bill in rich economies by only 0.25% -0.5% of GDP. That is less than one-quarter of the income loss in 1974 or 1980. On the other hand, oil-importing emerging economies to which heavy industry has shifted have become more energy-intensive, and so could be more seriously squeezed.

  

信息流廣告 周易 易經 代理招生 二手車 網絡營銷 旅游攻略 非物質文化遺產 查字典 社區團購 精雕圖 戲曲下載 抖音代運營 易學網 互聯網資訊 成語 成語故事 詩詞 工商注冊 注冊公司 抖音帶貨 云南旅游網 網絡游戲 代理記賬 短視頻運營 在線題庫 國學網 知識產權 抖音運營 雕龍客 雕塑 奇石 散文 自學教程 常用文書 河北生活網 好書推薦 游戲攻略 心理測試 石家莊人才網 考研真題 漢語知識 心理咨詢 手游安卓版下載 興趣愛好 網絡知識 十大品牌排行榜 商標交易 單機游戲下載 短視頻代運營 寶寶起名 范文網 電商設計 免費發布信息 服裝服飾 律師咨詢 搜救犬 Chat GPT中文版 經典范文 優質范文 工作總結 二手車估價 實用范文 古詩詞 衡水人才網 石家莊點痣 養花 名酒回收 石家莊代理記賬 女士發型 搜搜作文 石家莊人才網 鋼琴入門指法教程 詞典 圍棋 chatGPT 讀后感 玄機派 企業服務 法律咨詢 chatGPT國內版 chatGPT官網 勵志名言 河北代理記賬公司 文玩 語料庫 游戲推薦 男士發型 高考作文 PS修圖 兒童文學 買車咨詢 工作計劃 禮品廠 舟舟培訓 IT教程 手機游戲推薦排行榜 暖通,電地暖, 女性健康 苗木供應 ps素材庫 短視頻培訓 優秀個人博客 包裝網 創業賺錢 養生 民間借貸律師 綠色軟件 安卓手機游戲 手機軟件下載 手機游戲下載 單機游戲大全 免費軟件下載 石家莊論壇 網賺 手游下載 游戲盒子 職業培訓 資格考試 成語大全 英語培訓 藝術培訓 少兒培訓 苗木網 雕塑網 好玩的手機游戲推薦 漢語詞典 中國機械網 美文欣賞 紅樓夢 道德經 標準件 電地暖 網站轉讓 鮮花 書包網 英語培訓機構 電商運營
主站蜘蛛池模板: 免费人成激情视频在线观看冫| 美妇与子伦亲小说| 色偷偷91久久综合噜噜噜噜| 最近中文字幕在线中文视频| 国产精品国色综合久久| 又粗又大又长又爽免费视频| 亚洲国产成人精品激情| av免费网址在线观看| 香蕉久久人人爽人人爽人人片av| 最近高清国语中文在线观看免费| 小受bl灌满白浊夹多人4p| 国产男女无遮挡猛进猛出| 亚洲午夜爱爱香蕉片| 青青操免费在线视频| 欧美一级免费观看| 国产成人精品一区二区三区| 人人妻人人澡人人爽人人精品| ankhazone度盘| 波多野结衣未删减在线| 我的巨ru麻麻奶水喷| 国产丰满麻豆videossexhd| 久久久久免费看黄a级试看| 香蕉视频在线网址| 欧美e片成人在线播放乱妇| 处女的诱惑在线观看| 亚洲精品欧美精品日韩精品| 丝袜交kingfootjob| 香蕉污视频在线观看| 日本人在线看片| 又粗又黑又大的吊av| gay精牛cum| 欧美成人全部免费观看1314色| 在线综合亚洲欧美自拍| 亚洲小视频网站| 97国产在线播放| 欧美俄罗斯乱妇| 国产小视频在线观看www| 亚洲av无码一区二区三区不卡| 韩国免费一级成人毛片| 性欧美18-19性猛交| 四虎影视在线永久免费观看|